Dogecoin not in U.S plans

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Ethereum faces identity crisis as rivals surge ahead

Key points:

• ETH is down 44% YTD, marking its worst quarterly performance since 2022.

• ETH/BTC ratio fell to 0.022, down 74% since its proof-of-stake transition.

News - Ethereum’s (ETH) 2025 has mostly been on shaky ground, with the altcoin struggling with a downturn that challenges its long-held position as a dominant force in the crypto market. Once seen as Bitcoin's (BTC) primary rival, ETH is now struggling to keep pace with emerging competitors.

This decline has not gone unnoticed, drawing concern from industry stakeholders and making headlines in mainstream media.

Ethereum struggles to compete - Despite maintaining its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency with a $217 billion market cap, the altcoin has plummeted 44% year-to-date, falling from $3.32K in January to $1.8K - Marking its worst quarterly performance since the 2022 bear market. This downturn has also made ETH less appealing to investors, with its Sharpe ratio dropping to -0.69 - A sign of greater risk and diminishing returns.

Meanwhile, competitors like Solana have surged, attracting developers while strengthening their ecosystems. XRP’s market cap has also soared from $30 billion to $119 billion.

Ethereum’s decline is further evidenced by its weakening position against Bitcoin, with the ETH/BTC ratio hitting a new low of 0.022 - Down 74% since its transition to proof-of-stake. Analysts attribute this downtrend to weak leadership, with critics pointing to founder Vitalik Buterin’s rigid stance on decentralization and reluctance to engage with policymakers.

Buterin’s roadmap for Ethereum - In response to ongoing challenges, Buterin has introduced a new roadmap to enhance Layer 2 scalability and security through a multi-proof model. By combining optimistic proofs, zero-knowledge (ZK) proofs, and trusted execution environment (TEE) provers, the upgrade aims to improve transaction finality and reduce fraud risks.

However, concerns remain over Ethereum’s declining network activity and revenue, with some analysts blaming Layer 2 solutions for draining value from the main network.

What’s more? - Investor sentiment has also weakened as spot ETH ETFs continue to see consistent outflows. This, in stark contrast to Bitcoin ETFs, which have recorded billion-dollar inflows.

And yet, some traders are still betting on ETH’s recovery, with a $4K target in 2025. Even though Options data hinted at slim chances for the same before September.

Bitcoin near $82K - Are on-chain metrics hinting at a surge?

Key points:

• Sell-side ratio and aSOPR alluded to possible accumulation and rebound.

• Dropping below $80K risks further decline.

News - Bitcoin (BTC) has shown signs of exhaustion, with the crypto struggling to maintain stability over the last 24 hours.

Despite a major dip to $81,943, market indicators hinted at a potential rally ahead. What this means is that BTC could extend its gradual uptrend in the coming days.

On-chain metrics flash positive signs - Bitcoin’s bullish outlook seemed to be supported by key on-chain metrics, with the sell-side ratio dropping to 0.086% - A level historically linked to major price rallies. Additionally, the adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR) slipping below 1 suggested traders have been selling at a loss, often signaling a market bottom and potential accumulation phase.

However, the momentum needed for a sustained rally remains uncertain. The 70-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator is yet to cross its moving average - A key trigger for price surges.

Meanwhile, market activity has remained subdued, with BTC transfers falling to approximately 441,000, reflecting weak momentum. For Bitcoin’s rally to gain traction, both price and volume must rise in tandem.

What lies ahead? - Bitcoin’s market sentiment is at a crossroads, with key indicators pointing to a phase of consolidation. The annualized Sharpe Ratio hovering near neutrality hinted a pause in risk-adjusted returns, historically signaling corrective or stabilization phases.

Meanwhile, the STH SOPR staying below 1 is a sign of sustained selling at a loss, a sign of panic among short-term holders. Despite the weakening buying pressure reflected in OBV and RSI trends, Bitcoin’s ability to hold the $82,000 support level will determine its next move.

A sustained push above $85,000 could reignite bullish momentum, while a drop below $80,000 may invite further downside.

Solana eyes $110 as key support level crumbles

Key points:

• Solana lost 11% of its value in 7 days, losing its rank to BNB in the process.

• SOL’s DEX volumes plummeted by 95% too.

News - Solana (SOL) has been on a downward trajectory lately, slipping by over 11% in the past week and struggling to reclaim the $150-mark since 6th March. At the time of writing, technical indicators seemed to paint a concerning picture, with a death cross formation, a rising Average Directional Index (ADX), and a deepening red Ichimoku Cloud signaling intensified selling pressure.

Additionally, Binance Coin (BNB) recently reclaimed its position as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency, flipping SOL in the rankings.

Bearish momentum continues - Solana’s technical outlook has been bearish, with the Ichimoku Cloud signaling strong resistance ahead. The DMI further confirmed this trend, with the ADX surging to 40.87 and indicating bearish momentum.

Meanwhile, the -DI alluded to sellers’ control. With Solana struggling to hold key support at $120, a breakdown could see the price testing $112 or even slipping below $110 for the first time since February 2024.

SOL vs BNB - Solana’s decline extends beyond price action though, with its DEX volumes plummeting by 95% in three months - From a record $30 billion to just $1.4 billion.

Meanwhile, BNB Chain saw a modest 4% uptick, capturing speculative interest and higher transaction fees.

Over the same period, BNB Chain’s fees surged by 171% to $1.17 million, while Solana’s fell 63% to $1.16 million. This shift also affected investor returns, with the SOL/BNB ratio dropping by over 50% in 2025 - A sign of SOL’s underperformance against BNB.

What are whales doing? - Despite the recent whale sale of 60,289 SOL tokens, Solana’s long-term outlook is still resilient. While short-term selling pressure has contributed to a decline in price, the network continues to show robust growth, with a record 11.12 million addresses holding at least 0.1 SOL.

The ongoing retest of key support levels, coupled with neutral Funding Rates, indicated a market still in flux, with no clear directional bias. If buyers step in at this critical juncture, Solana could see a rebound, potentially shifting momentum back in favor of the bulls.

Ultimately, while the whale’s sale added to near-term volatility, it does not necessarily signal a prolonged downturn.

‘No plans for the government to use Dogecoin’ says Musk

Key points:

• Musk denied any U.S. government plans to adopt Dogecoin despite speculation.

• Statement had little positive impact on memecoin’s price.

News - Elon Musk, known for his vocal support of Dogecoin, recently clarified that the U.S government has no plans to adopt the meme-inspired cryptocurrency. Speaking at a town hall in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on 30th March, Musk addressed speculation linking Dogecoin to the federal Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) by dismissing any official connection.

His remarks come amid ongoing debates over cryptocurrency adoption in government operations. Musk’s statement reinforced that despite his personal enthusiasm, Dogecoin remains outside federal economic strategies.

Musk said,

“There are no plans for the government to use Dogecoin or anything as far as I know. They happen to be similar names, but really, we’re literally just trying to make the government 15% more efficient.”

Did Musk's endorsement lead to DOGE’s surge? - Musk revealed that the name D.O.G.E. was inspired by online suggestions, replacing his initial idea of the "Government Efficiency Commission," which he found dull.

Despite no official connection to Dogecoin, however, speculation surged in February when D.O.G.E.’s website briefly featured the cryptocurrency’s Shiba Inu mascot, driving Dogecoin’s price up 14% to a $58 billion market cap.

While Musk's past endorsements of Dogecoin have attracted SEC scrutiny, his recent remarks had little effect, with the coin slipping by 5.71% in the last 24 hours.

D.O.G.E. so far - Since its launch, the D.O.G.E. initiative has aggressively pushed cost-cutting measures, leading to mass layoffs and funding cuts for programs related to climate change, scientific research, and social welfare. Several federal agencies, including USAID and the CFPB, have been significantly impacted, sparking legal battles over the department’s authority.

Meanwhile, Musk’s role remains ambiguous, While the White House insists he is only an advisor, Trump has referred to him as the department’s leader. Musk, however, maintains that he is not receiving any compensation for his involvement.

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• BONK faces 27% drop as bearish pressure mounts: Can it happen?

• EOS likely to remain below the $0.64 level, here’s why

• Toncoin’s battle for $4: Why $3.93 is a key level to watch

Did you know?

• Vitalik Buterin named Ethereum after an ancient scientific theory! While scrolling through Wikipedia in 2013, he stumbled upon "ether" - A medieval concept of an invisible substance that fills space and carries light waves. Inspired by its imperceptible yet foundational nature, he envisioned Ethereum as a decentralized backbone for applications, much like Ether was once thought to spread through the universe.

• El Salvador mines Bitcoin using geothermal energy from the Tecapa volcano, making it one of the most eco-friendly crypto mining methods. Since 2021, the country has used 1.5 MW of geothermal power to mine 473.5 BTC, boosting its reserves to 5,752 BTC.

• The world’s first Bitcoin ATM was installed in a Vancouver coffee shop in 2013! Customers could buy or sell Bitcoin for cash by scanning their palm and exchanging up to $3,000 per day. Today, there are over 38,000 Bitcoin ATMs worldwide.

Top 3 coins of the day

Ripple (XRP)

Key points:

• XRP saw a 17.28% decline over the past week.

• MACD’s dip below the Signal line hinted at more depreciation.

What you should know:

XRP has been tracking the broader market’s decline, with the crypto trading at $2.04 after a 6.50% drop in the last 24 hours. The bearish outlook was further reinforced by technical indicators, particularly the MACD, which remained below the Signal line, accompanied by red histograms extending under the neutral level. This shift in momentum first occurred on 27th March, when XRP flipped from a bullish to a bearish trend. To regain upward momentum, XRP must decisively break above the key resistance level at $2.197. However, if selling pressure persists and the downtrend continues, the altcoin risks slipping below the crucial support level at $1.980, potentially extending its losses further.

Cardano (ADA)

Key points:

• ADA has been mirroring the broader market’s downturn.

• Altcoin lost 13% of its value in the past week alone.

What you should know:

The cryptocurrency market is still on its downward spiral, and Cardano (ADA) is no exception. At press time, ADA was trading at $0.6336, following a 7.30% decline in the last 24 hours. Its bearish momentum was further reinforced by the Awesome Oscillator, which remained below the neutral level and displayed consecutive red histograms - A clear sign of sustained selling pressure. Additionally, the Volume Oscillator stood at -21.68%, confirming weakening trading volume and fall in buying interest. For ADA to overturn its bearish trajectory, it must reclaim the key resistance level at $0.678. Failing to do so could see the altcoin extending its losses amid the prevailing market downturn.

Avalanche (AVAX)

Key points:

• AVAX fell by 16.29% over the week thanks to persistent selling pressure.

• RSI at 40 reiterated the market bears’ strength.

What you should know:

Avalanche (AVAX) extended its losses, trading at $18.26 after a 6.53% decline in the past 24 hours. This downturn is not an isolated event, but part of a broader market sell-off that has put significant pressure on most altcoins. Technical indicators reinforced the bearish sentiment, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slipping below the neutral threshold, sitting at 40.38 at press time - A sign of increasing selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands remained parallel, hinting at a phase of consolidation where price movements are likely to stay within the bands unless a breakout occurs. To reverse the bearish momentum, AVAX must breach the key resistance level at $20.01. However, failure to do so could see the altcoin testing critical support at $17.07 and accruing deeper losses.